martes, 30 de diciembre de 2008

Stephen Roach interviewed by Caijing

-Shape of the recession: a flat U
-American consumers: weakest most fragile states we have seen in the post war.
-Early stages of a multi year ajustment for american consumers
-Sluggish global growth for 3 to 5 years
-No Great Depression, Great Stagnation instead




#2 (youtube link)
-American consumers too far, too fast, for too long - limited recovery at best
-Consume less, create incentive to save more and reinvest in infrastructures
-TARP isn't working



#3 (youtube link)
-Inflation vs. Deflation outlook for 2009
-Reasons why china is buying US treasuries
-Falling chinese export
-The need for a safety net in China.

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